Peak season is one of the few logistics problems that arrives on schedule. The dates change only slightly from year to year, as do the consequences: earlier cut-offs, reduced capacity and surcharges on January invoices.
This makes it more manageable, and yet many manufacturers still seem surprised by it. Most advice about peak season is written for online retailers who ship parcels to consumers. A plant that ships spare parts by parcel, finished goods on pallets, and raw materials by full truckload faces different problems. They have a fixed number of working days before the shutdown, a production schedule that depends on inbound deliveries and carrier contracts that they want to maintain.
This guide explains how to manage peak-season logistics from a manufacturer's perspective. It covers topics such as changes at the carrier level, the areas of your team that will be under pressure, and what to do from early November to January.
What peak season means for a manufacturer
Peak season in logistics is a period when demand for transport exceeds the capacity that carriers have available. During this time, rates, surcharges and transit times increase, and collection and delivery slots become more difficult to book. For most European shippers, the main peak season runs from November to early January.
For retailers, the peak season begins on Black Friday. For manufacturers, it usually starts with the year-end push. Customers want deliveries before their budgets close for the year, production runs at full capacity before the holidays and everything that has to leave the plant must be dispatched before it shuts down.
The timing also depends on the transport method used. Ocean freight peaks from mid-August to mid-October, whereas parcel and road freight peak in November and December. As most manufacturers use both, they experience more than one peak a year.
Period | What happens | Main effect on a manufacturer |
November to December | Year-end production push, parcel networks at full capacity, carrier holiday closures | Outbound backlog before the shutdown, earlier cut-offs, peak surcharges |
Late December to early January | Plant shutdowns, public holidays across Europe | Few collection and delivery days, slow restart |
January to February | Chinese New Year (6 February 2027) | Late components and materials from Asian suppliers |
Easter | Several public holidays in a short window | Short weeks, higher spot rates on some lanes |
July to August | Summer plant closures (July in the Nordics, August in Italy and France) | Customers and suppliers closed, reduced carrier capacity |
Your own industry adds its own cycle on top of that. For example, machinery manufacturers often ship more before the construction season. Packaging producers prepare for their customers' peak months in advance.
What changes on the carrier side
Three things change when the peak arrives: the amount of capacity that carriers have, how much they charge for it and how early they stop taking bookings.
Capacity and rates
The European road freight market was already experiencing capacity constraints prior to this year's peak. In Q2 2026, the European Road Freight Rate Benchmark from Ti, Upply and IRU put the contract rate index at 148.0, 15.2 points higher than the previous year. Spot rates rose by a similar amount. The same report estimates that around 502,000 truck driver positions in Europe remain unfilled.
Peak demand does not necessarily lead to a shortage of trucks. In Q4 2025, road spot rates stayed almost unchanged during the peak period due to weak demand. For most manufacturers, the bigger risk is not being able to find a truck at all. It's more likely that the slot you need will be unavailable on the day you need it, or that the price will be higher than you had planned for.
Peak and demand surcharges
Peak surcharges are no longer limited to parcel carriers in December. They now apply to parcel, express and ocean freight services, each with their own dates and basis for calculation.
Some of the surcharges that hit hardest during peak periods are not actually called 'peak surcharges'. For example, FedEx introduced volume-based thresholds for additional handling fees in Europe in January 2026. Previously free bulky packages can now cost extra. Fuel surcharges are usually calculated on top of other surcharges, meaning one shipment can carry three or four additional fees.
Earlier cut-offs and fewer delivery days
Carriers publish their last collection dates for the holiday period, which are usually earlier than sales teams expect. Hubs fill up in the second half of December, bad weather slows down road and air freight in northern regions, and public holidays differ from country to country. According to The Loadstar, around New Year some EU markets have only 11 delivery days in a three-week window.
For a shipment to Italy, Norway and Poland in the same week, for example, it is necessary to check three different holiday calendars.
Where peak season hits a manufacturing logistics team
The pressure from carriers affects five different areas of a manufacturing company. Most logistics managers will be familiar with all of these.
- Inbound materials. Production plans assume that raw materials and components will arrive on time. During peak periods, if a supplier's truck is delayed by even two days, it can stop production, and the logistics team often only finds out when the production planning team asks where the delivery is. Without a comprehensive overview of inbound shipments, every check requires another email or visit to another carrier portal.
- Outbound backlog. Orders that customers want before the end of the year pile up in the last two weeks before the shutdown. When the main carrier's capacity is full, someone has to find an alternative option, compare prices, and make a booking, usually on the same afternoon.
- Sales promises. Delivery dates are agreed with customers before the carrier's holiday cut-off is checked. It is only when the order is ready to ship that the logistics team learns about the promise. By then, the only remaining option is an express service costing several times more than planned.
- People. The peak coincides with the holidays. If carrier contacts, booking portals and special arrangements are managed by one person, the process slows down when that person is away. In many teams, December is exactly when that happens.
- Invoices. Peak surcharges arrive weeks later, spread across dozens of invoices. Without a check against the agreed rates, they are approved as part of normal freight spending and never questioned. It is estimated that freight billing errors cost mid-market shippers 3 to 7% of total freight spend each year, and the number of surcharge lines to check increases more than at any other time of year during the peak season.
None of these problems are caused by peak season. Peak season simply exposes the issues that would normally be hidden.
How to manage peak season logistics: an 8-week checklist
The work that determines how December will go takes place in November. Count back eight weeks from your shutdown date and follow the steps below. If you have less time left, start with the step that matches your calendar and complete the earlier steps in a shorter form.
8 weeks before the shutdown
- Review last year's peak. Pull volumes per lane, late shipments, missed collections and surcharges paid from November to January. This shows where the pressure will land again.
- Ask your main carriers for capacity commitments and holiday cut-offs in writing. Ask for last collection dates per service and per country, and for the dates when peak or demand surcharges apply.
- Map public holidays for every destination country. Our National Holiday Finder lists them by country, so you can see which days are lost on each lane.
6 weeks before
- Confirm a backup carrier for each main lane and mode. Load their rates now, while there is time to check them. A backup carrier you have to onboard on 18 December is not a backup.
- Agree a last-order date with sales. Base it on the earliest carrier cut-off plus your own picking and packing time. Then send it to customers so the date is set before the orders arrive.
4 weeks before
- Book recurring FTLs and scheduled pickups for the remaining weeks. Fixed bookings are easier to protect when capacity tightens.
- Ask key suppliers for ship dates on materials needed for January production. Use the transit time calculator to check that the dates still work after holidays.
- Price peak surcharges into quotes and budgets. If a customer order will ship in a surcharge window, the surcharge belongs in the price, not in a margin surprise later.
2 weeks before
- Check open shipments daily. Look for exceptions on every carrier, not only the main one: delayed pickups, missed connections, failed deliveries.
- Prioritize inbound. Materials needed for the first production week of January matter more than a non-urgent outbound order.
- Plan dock time. With more trucks arriving in fewer days, dock scheduling prevents queues at loading bays.
Shutdown week
- Write down who is on call, which carrier to use for emergencies and how to reach them. Put it where the whole team can find it, not in one person's inbox.
First weeks of January
- Check every invoice from the peak period against the agreed rates and surcharges.
- Run a 30-minute review: what was late, what cost more than planned, which carrier performed and which did not.
- Feed the results into your next carrier tender.
Keep your A carriers, line up your B carriers
Peak season is not a good time to shop around. Carriers prioritize shippers with consistent volumes and contracts, and the spot market is at its most expensive when you need it most. Your best protection in December is a long-term relationship with your main carriers.
But what such a relationship does not cover is capacity on the day your main carrier is full. This is where a B carrier comes in: a second carrier per lane or mode with agreed rates and pre-loaded capacity that you use when your first choice is unavailable. It does not replace your A carrier. It ensures that a missed slot does not result in a missed delivery.
The B carrier only works if it is ready before you need it. This means that the contract has been signed, the rates have been entered into your system, and your team knows how to book with them. Our guide to choosing a freight carrier covers what you should check.
Check every peak surcharge before you approve the invoice
Peak surcharges are legitimate if they are included in the contract. The problem is that few teams verify whether each invoice item matches the agreed terms. Surcharges can be applied per parcel, per kilogram or per container, and are sometimes applied on top of each other. They also often have different dates per carrier.
There is a simple rule to follow: every shipment should have an expected price at the time of booking, including any applicable surcharges. When the invoice arrives, compare the two figures. Any difference indicates either a pricing error or an unaccounted-for surcharge, both of which are worth knowing about.
Calculating this manually for hundreds of shipments is time-consuming. This is one of the main reasons why it is better to calculate freight surcharges automatically when booking rather than discovering them on the invoice.
Make the process survive holidays
Peak season puts more strain on processes than on people. For example, if the logistics manager is the only person who knows which carrier to call for an urgent pallet delivery to Norway, the company will be dependent on that individual during the busiest weeks of the year.
Three things can reduce that risk: Firstly, there should be written procedures for the main shipment types. A shared view of all shipments and carriers, so anyone on the team can see the status without having to ask. Booking rights should also be granted to more than one person for every carrier you use.
Management also needs an overview of how the peak season is going without having to attend daily status meetings. A one-page report containing four key figures is usually sufficient.
Metric | What it shows |
On-time delivery, inbound | Whether production is at risk |
On-time delivery, outbound | Whether customers are at risk |
Transport cost as % of revenue | Whether peak costs stay within budget |
Surcharges paid vs planned | How much of the cost increase was unplanned |
To find out more about selecting and monitoring these KPIs, take a look at our guide to the freight KPIs every logistics manager should track.
How a TMS helps during peak season
Most of the above steps are difficult to carry out using email, spreadsheets and a separate portal for each carrier. A transport management system brings carriers, rates and shipments together in one place, which is especially important when time is short.
Cargoson is a TMS designed for manufacturers and wholesalers who ship parcels, pallets and full truckloads using their own carrier contracts. During peak season, this makes a practical difference in several ways:
- Prices with surcharges at booking. Cargoson calculates the price of each shipment using your contracted rates and including any surcharges. Once your A carrier is full, you can view the cost of the B carrier in the same place.
- New carriers in days, not weeks. Cargoson connects to over 2,000 carriers via direct API integrations. If you need a carrier that is not yet connected, we will build the integration at no extra cost.
- One view of all shipments. Tracking information from every carrier appears in one place, so you can see delays before customers call and production planners can check inbound status themselves.
- Inbound bookings from suppliers. Suppliers can book shipments against your contracted rates in your account, meaning inbound materials are visible alongside outbound orders.
- ERP integration. Shipment data flows seamlessly from SAP, Microsoft Dynamics 365, NetSuite, Odoo and other ERPs, eliminating the need for retyping. Read more in ERP vs TMS.
- Anyone on the team can book. Rates, carriers and procedures are stored in the system, not in one person's head.
Manufacturers such as Ensto, Stokker and OMHU use Cargoson to manage multiple carriers from one platform.
After peak: use January to prepare the next one
January is the time when data from the peak season is both the most useful and the most frequently overlooked.
Look at the peak numbers and ask which carrier kept its commitments, which lanes needed a backup and how much was paid in unexpected surcharges. A carrier that performed well in December has earned more business.
Our guide on how to run a simple transport tender explains the steps.
Want to see how a TMS can support you and your team during peak season? Book a call with us and we'll walk you through.
